I have lived in Texas all my life, and no other subject has filled me with both fear and awe at the same time like Texas storms do. This powerful weather phenomenon has always inspired me. The storms themselves are a work of art. Powerful winds aloft sculpt the towers into magnificent shapes and structures. Lightning lights up the night sky like an Independence Day celebration, and the booming thunder seems to echo forever. All of these factors are orchestrated like a symphony in the heavens. “Majestic Noise” is the name of this performance, and I am its audience. I love photographing and experiencing these storms. It is my passion, my calling, and my mission. When the severe weather rolls in, I go out to listen for that “Majestic Noise!”

Monday, March 21, 2011

A Chase for this Sunday?...

After two unsucessful recent chase events. I am starting to have confidence that the season is underway for us. I was looking over the latest GFS run and it looks like Sat/Sun we could have a chase with some workable paramaters. I plan to chase the models verify. Read on to learn more.

Thanks.

-Ben

 Surface temperatures for 7pm Sunday. This 1000mb low is slowing making its way through central TX.

500mb chart for 00z Sunday. A nice storm system is making its way to the southern plains. Winds aloft are reaching around 50+ kts. Which gives us a bulk shear of about 40kts.

500mb Relative Vorticity chart. This storm system has got a little "oomph" to it. You can see the trough digging in the southern states.

 There is also sufficent moisture for severe weather.

 And a very nice instability axis. 2000 J/kg. That's more like Spring!

 Manageable CAP as well.

 Sounding for Wichita Falls, TX. This probably would not be my target the instability axis and deeper moisture is further south. I would probably pick Abeline, TX right now.

 Very impressive hodograph with a very nice right curvature.

Models are showing precipitation breaking out just after 1:00pm.


It is still a little far out, but this is the most promising set up I have seen for our area. Hopefully this will put an end to our drought and we can start to see some REAL weather.
Posted by shutterbug2007 at 10:38 PM 0 comments
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